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Top MLB Picks for Thursday: May 28 Baseball Betting Predictions and Props

May 27, 2026; Arlington, Texas, USA; Houston Astros first baseman Christian Walker (8) and designated hitter Yordan Alvarez (44) celebrate after Alvarez hits a home run against the Texas Rangers during the eighth inning at Globe Life Field. Mandatory Credit: Jerome Miron-Imagn ImagesMay 27, 2026; Arlington, Texas, USA; Houston Astros first baseman Christian Walker (8) and designated hitter Yordan Alvarez (44) celebrate after Alvarez hits a home run against the Texas Rangers during the eighth inning at Globe Life Field. Mandatory Credit: Jerome Miron-Imagn Images

Chris Sale would like nothing better than to post a standout performance in Fenway Park when the Atlanta Braves face the Boston Red Sox on Thursday afternoon. Sale seemed on a downhill slide when he sustained a major arm injury and later struggled with Boston in 2023 before the trade to the Braves revived his career.

While Sale seems on his way to his third straight All-Star appearance with the Braves – and 10th overall – he’s not the only top-flight pitcher getting the ball Thursday. Paul Skenes will look to bounce back from consecutive shaky starts when he pitches against the struggling Chicago Cubs.

It wasn’t that long ago that the Houston Astros were the dominant team in the American League West. The Texas Rangers placed their bid when they won the 2023 World Series. But both teams are subpar so far this season as they enter the series finale.

ATLANTA BRAVES AT BOSTON RED SOX

Sale is 7-3 and his 1.89 ERA ranks sixth in the majors and he has allowed just 40 hits over 62 innings. The 37-year-old Sale has allowed one or fewer runs in nine of his 11 starts.

Sale is 4-1 with a 1.89 ERA in 12 appearances (seven starts) against the Red Sox with most of those outings coming for the Chicago White Sox. The Braves are a stellar 20-9 on the road this season after splitting the first two games of the season.

The Red Sox are just 9-18 at Fenway Park but had a lot of fun Wednesday while rolling to an 8-0 victory over the Braves to end a four-game overall slide and a five-game home skid. Leadoff hitter Jarren Duran had four hits and homered for the second straight game and No. 2 hitter Ceddanne Rafaela added three hits and the pair will aim to support lefty Payton Tolle (2-2, 2.45) in the finale.

Total runs to be under 7, +103 (DraftKings)

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CHICAGO CUBS AT PITTSBURGH PIRATES

Skenes (6-4, 3.00) allowed two hits over eight shutout innings in each of his first two starts this month before suddenly becoming easy to hit and allowing nine runs and 15 hits over 10 innings in losses to the Philadelphia Phillies and Toronto Blue Jays. Skenes is 2-2 with a 2.94 ERA in seven career starts against Chicago.

The Cubs will come to the ballpark in a good mood for the first time since the middle of the month after breaking their 10-game skid with a 10-4 victory over the Pittsburgh Pirates on Wednesday. The Cubs gave up eight or more runs five times during their winless stretch, including Tuesday’s 12-1 loss to the Pirates.

Ian Happ smacked a three-run blast and drove in five runs on Wednesday after being 2-for-31 over his previous eight games. Veteran right-hander Colin Rea (4-3, 4.83) will match up against Skenes and attempt to give Chicago a split of the four-game set.

Pirates to win -1.5 runs, +130 (DraftKings)

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HOUSTON ASTROS AT TEXAS RANGERS

The Astros are showing life with five wins in six games – including two of three in this series – but are still seven games below .500. Houston qualified for the playoffs eight straight seasons, topping 100 wins in four of them, before missing the postseason last season

Slugger Yordan Alvarez loves to feast on Texas pitching and he hit two homers in Wednesday’s 4-3 victory and he has five in the first three games of the series. Alvarez has gone deep 25 times in 72 regular-season games against Texas and also had a two-homer game in the 2023 American League Championship Series, won by the Rangers en route to winning their lone World Series crown.

Texas missed the playoffs the past two seasons and have lost five of six games and were victims to a Houston combined no-hitter on Monday. Nathan Eovaldi (5-5, 3.65) knows his biggest task is keeping Alvarez in the yard but good luck as Alvarez is 12-for-23 with two homers and three doubles against the veteran righty.

Yordan Alvarez to hit one-plus homers, +311 (DraftKings)

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Brewers' Abner Uribe suspended 1 game for inappropriate gesture

May 26, 2026; Milwaukee, Wisconsin, USA; Milwaukee Brewers pitcher Abner Uribe (45) celebrates the final out of in the eighth inning against the St. Louis Cardinals at American Family Field. Mandatory Credit: Michael McLoone-Imagn ImagesMay 26, 2026; Milwaukee, Wisconsin, USA; Milwaukee Brewers pitcher Abner Uribe (45) celebrates the final out of in the eighth inning against the St. Louis Cardinals at American Family Field. Mandatory Credit: Michael McLoone-Imagn Images

Milwaukee Brewers pitcher Abner Uribe has been suspended one game and fined an undisclosed amount by Major League Baseball for his “inappropriate actions” in Tuesday’s game against the St. Louis Cardinals.

Uribe has appealed the suspension, which means any disciplinary action is on hold until the appeals process has been completed and he will be available to pitch Friday when the Brewers open a three-game series against the host Houston Astros.

The suspension and fine come after the Milwaukee reliever made lewd gestures toward the Cardinals’ dugout in the eighth inning of Tuesday’s 6-0 win.

Uribe recorded an inning-ending strikeout with two runners aboard before making three crotch chops while facing the visitors’ dugout.

After the game, the 25-year-old apologized through an interpreter. However, he also pointed the finger at the Cardinals.

“Everyone here knows me and knows who I am, and knows I have a bit of a history of being emotional out there,” he said. “I think first I owe an apology to the Brewers. I owe an apology to my teammates, to my manager, all the bosses of the team. I understand that’s unacceptable, to go out there and react in a way like that.

“But at the same time, I don’t think it’s professional for their manager to be making signs towards our dugout saying that he’s going to be hitting guys,” Uribe said, apparently referencing actions he saw from Cardinals manager Oliver Marmol during Monday’s series-opening 5-1 win by the Brewers.

“There was an event that occurred during the practice (Tuesday), too, and I don’t think that was right. So, I have my teammates’ back always,” Uribe added.

When asked to elaborate on what happened during Tuesday’s batting practice, Uribe said, “I don’t have any comments toward that.”

Uribe is 2-2 with five saves and a 4.19 ERA in 21 relief appearances this season.

–Field Level Media

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Victor Wembanyama and the Spurs Offer the Best NBA Title Value

Mar 3, 2026; Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA; San Antonio Spurs forward Victor Wembanyama (1) reacts after his team scores against the Philadelphia 76ers during the second quarter at Xfinity Mobile Arena. Mandatory Credit: Bill Streicher-Imagn ImagesMar 3, 2026; Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA; San Antonio Spurs forward Victor Wembanyama (1) reacts after his team scores against the Philadelphia 76ers during the second quarter at Xfinity Mobile Arena. Mandatory Credit: Bill Streicher-Imagn Images

The San Antonio Spurs might not even make the NBA Finals, but they’re the smartest prediction to win the NBA Championship.

On Saturday night, the Spurs will battle the Oklahoma City Thunder for the final time in Game 7 of their highly contested Western Conference Finals series.

Popular prediction markets like Kalshi, which allows users to trade outcomes of real-world events, are giving the Spurs just a 26% chance of winning the 2026 NBA championship. A contract on the Spurs to win the championship is 27¢. The Spurs are the longest shot remaining, and that’s what makes them the smart pick right now to win the Finals.

The Thunder have the best probability to win the championship, according to Kalshi, with 43% probability. Oklahoma City has been the class of the NBA since winning the championship last season, but there’s no guarantee that they won’t be upset against the Spurs in Game 7. Currently, the Thunder have a 59% chance of winning Game 7 on their home floor against the Spurs.

Based on value alone, the Spurs should be the pick. Even if you believe that Oklahoma City is the best of the final three teams remaining (which is probably true), Game 7s are weird. Anything can happen.

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The Spurs looked really good in Game 6. Phenom Victor Wembanyama flushed his poor outing in Game 5 by scoring 28 points and grabbing 10 rebounds. A big game from Wembanyama in Game 7 could be on the horizon, which would make San Antonio four wins away from the NBA Finals.

There isn’t a single team in the NBA that has figured out how to slow down Wembanyama. Even though the New York Knicks employ Karl-Anthony Towns and Mitchell Robinson, Wembanyama is a different breed. He shot 4-of-9 from deep in Game 6. Sure, Towns is athletic enough to guard the perimeter. But against a 7-foot-4 Wembanyama? Good luck with that.

The Spurs are also in a great position – they’re playing without any pressure.

Oklahoma City faces a do-or-die Game 7 just to get back to the NBA Finals. The Knicks are carrying the weight of their 53-year championship drought. Meanwhile, the Spurs are just young enough to be playing without any serious expectations. Wembanayama is only 22. There will be plenty of more opportunities for him, which is what could make the Spurs so dangerous in Game 7.

Even though the Thunder and the Knicks have cold blooded killers in back-to-back NBA MVP Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Jalen Brunson, the Spurs have plenty of depth. The Knicks will be rested, so San Antonio will need to lean on Stephon Castle and Dylan Harper, too.

The Spurs might not be the best team remaining from a talent standpoint. But they’re the smartest pick to make right now.

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Marta Kostyuk to put clay-court streak on line against Iga Swiatek in Paris

Ukraine's Marta Kostyuk her third round match against Switzerland's Viktorija Golubic at the French Open on May 29, 2026.Ukraine’s Marta Kostyuk her third round match against Switzerland’s Viktorija Golubic at the French Open on May 29, 2026.

Marta Kostyuk of Ukraine, who has not lost on the clay courts this season, advanced to the fourth round of the French Open on Friday in Paris — with four-time champion Iga Swiatek her next opponent.

The 15th-seeded Kostyuk won titles on the clay courts in Madrid and Rouen leading up to the French Open. She advanced with a 6-4, 6-3 defeat of Viktorija Golubic of Switzerland.

Swiatek, the third seed, most recently won the title at Roland Garros in 2024. She defeated Magda Linette 6-4, 6-4 in an all-Polish match on Friday to advance. With the win, she avenged her three-set loss to Linette earlier this year in Miami.

Swiatek has yet to win a tournament on clay this season and has a record of 9-3. Her most recent title on any surface came last September in Seoul.

Kostyuk had an optimistic tone in her post-match news conference, even though she has lost all three career matchups against Swiatek and hasn’t won a set from her.

“I definitely have a different feeling going into this match,” she said. “Because I feel like last time that I played her in Cincinnati, I lost this match way before it even started, and I don’t feel the same this time.”

Swiatek also won the tournament in 2020 before three straight victories from 2022-24 and is 43-3 overall at Roland Garros. Only Chris Evert (seven) and Steffi Graf (six) have more singles titles in Paris during the Open Era.

Kostyuk knows that history, too.

“She’s won this tournament four times. I would love to be the one who is a favorite in this match, but I still don’t think it’s the case, even though I have this really long streak,” the Ukrainian said. “But it’s not going to ruin my day or ruin my game. I still want to go out and try my best and enjoy. Like, I have never taken a set off her. Even if I win one set in the next match, I’m going to be very happy. That’s how I look at it, and I’m excited for this match.”

Other winners Friday were eighth-seeded Mirra Andreeva of Russia, who defeated Czech 27th seed Marie Bouzkova 6-4, 6-2. In the fourth round, she will face Jil Teichmann of Switzerland, who upset 10th-seeded Karolina Muchova of Czechia 6-1, 7-5.

Sorana Cirstea of Romania, the 18th seed, shut out Solana Sierra of Argentina 6-0, 6-0 to set up a fourth-round meeting with Xiyu Wang of China, who produced a 6-3, 7-5 win over Ukraine’s Yuliia Starodubtseva.

Seventh-seeded Elina Svitolina of Ukraine ousted Tamara Korpatsch of Germany 6-2, 6-3. She will play 11th-seeded Belinda Bencic of Switzerland, who sailed 6-3, 6-3 past Peyton Stearns.

–Field Level Media

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