The San Antonio Spurs might not even make the NBA Finals, but they’re the smartest prediction to win the NBA Championship.

On Saturday night, the Spurs will battle the Oklahoma City Thunder for the final time in Game 7 of their highly contested Western Conference Finals series.

Popular prediction markets like Kalshi, which allows users to trade outcomes of real-world events, are giving the Spurs just a 26% chance of winning the 2026 NBA championship. A contract on the Spurs to win the championship is 27¢. The Spurs are the longest shot remaining, and that’s what makes them the smart pick right now to win the Finals.

The Thunder have the best probability to win the championship, according to Kalshi, with 43% probability. Oklahoma City has been the class of the NBA since winning the championship last season, but there’s no guarantee that they won’t be upset against the Spurs in Game 7. Currently, the Thunder have a 59% chance of winning Game 7 on their home floor against the Spurs.

Based on value alone, the Spurs should be the pick. Even if you believe that Oklahoma City is the best of the final three teams remaining (which is probably true), Game 7s are weird. Anything can happen.

The Spurs looked really good in Game 6. Phenom Victor Wembanyama flushed his poor outing in Game 5 by scoring 28 points and grabbing 10 rebounds. A big game from Wembanyama in Game 7 could be on the horizon, which would make San Antonio four wins away from the NBA Finals.

There isn’t a single team in the NBA that has figured out how to slow down Wembanyama. Even though the New York Knicks employ Karl-Anthony Towns and Mitchell Robinson, Wembanyama is a different breed. He shot 4-of-9 from deep in Game 6. Sure, Towns is athletic enough to guard the perimeter. But against a 7-foot-4 Wembanyama? Good luck with that.

The Spurs are also in a great position – they’re playing without any pressure.

Oklahoma City faces a do-or-die Game 7 just to get back to the NBA Finals. The Knicks are carrying the weight of their 53-year championship drought. Meanwhile, the Spurs are just young enough to be playing without any serious expectations. Wembanayama is only 22. There will be plenty of more opportunities for him, which is what could make the Spurs so dangerous in Game 7.

Even though the Thunder and the Knicks have cold blooded killers in back-to-back NBA MVP Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Jalen Brunson, the Spurs have plenty of depth. The Knicks will be rested, so San Antonio will need to lean on Stephon Castle and Dylan Harper, too.

The Spurs might not be the best team remaining from a talent standpoint. But they’re the smartest pick to make right now.

Marta Kostyuk of Ukraine, who has not lost on the clay courts this season, advanced to the fourth round of the French Open on Friday in Paris — with four-time champion Iga Swiatek her next opponent.

The 15th-seeded Kostyuk won titles on the clay courts in Madrid and Rouen leading up to the French Open. She advanced with a 6-4, 6-3 defeat of Viktorija Golubic of Switzerland.

Swiatek, the third seed, most recently won the title at Roland Garros in 2024. She defeated Magda Linette 6-4, 6-4 in an all-Polish match on Friday to advance. With the win, she avenged her three-set loss to Linette earlier this year in Miami.

Swiatek has yet to win a tournament on clay this season and has a record of 9-3. Her most recent title on any surface came last September in Seoul.

Kostyuk had an optimistic tone in her post-match news conference, even though she has lost all three career matchups against Swiatek and hasn’t won a set from her.

“I definitely have a different feeling going into this match,” she said. “Because I feel like last time that I played her in Cincinnati, I lost this match way before it even started, and I don’t feel the same this time.”

Swiatek also won the tournament in 2020 before three straight victories from 2022-24 and is 43-3 overall at Roland Garros. Only Chris Evert (seven) and Steffi Graf (six) have more singles titles in Paris during the Open Era.

Kostyuk knows that history, too.

“She’s won this tournament four times. I would love to be the one who is a favorite in this match, but I still don’t think it’s the case, even though I have this really long streak,” the Ukrainian said. “But it’s not going to ruin my day or ruin my game. I still want to go out and try my best and enjoy. Like, I have never taken a set off her. Even if I win one set in the next match, I’m going to be very happy. That’s how I look at it, and I’m excited for this match.”

Other winners Friday were eighth-seeded Mirra Andreeva of Russia, who defeated Czech 27th seed Marie Bouzkova 6-4, 6-2. In the fourth round, she will face Jil Teichmann of Switzerland, who upset 10th-seeded Karolina Muchova of Czechia 6-1, 7-5.

Sorana Cirstea of Romania, the 18th seed, shut out Solana Sierra of Argentina 6-0, 6-0 to set up a fourth-round meeting with Xiyu Wang of China, who produced a 6-3, 7-5 win over Ukraine’s Yuliia Starodubtseva.

Seventh-seeded Elina Svitolina of Ukraine ousted Tamara Korpatsch of Germany 6-2, 6-3. She will play 11th-seeded Belinda Bencic of Switzerland, who sailed 6-3, 6-3 past Peyton Stearns.

–Field Level Media

Michigan native Josh Sciba has been named the inaugural head coach of PWHL Detroit, the expansion team announced Thursday.

Sciba, 41, previously spent two seasons as an assistant coach for the PWHL’s New York Sirens and as an assistant coach for the gold medal-winning 2026 U.S. women’s Olympic hockey team.

“Josh is a highly respected coach with a knowledge of the game and experience at all levels of women’s hockey that set him apart, and his passion for teaching and individual character are qualities I value in a leader,” Detroit general manager Manon Rheaume said in a news release. “Hockeytown is in his blood, and this is an opportunity I know he is eager to embrace with an understanding of what it means to represent this city and be part of its legacy.”

Sciba served as head coach of the women’s hockey team at Union College from 2016-24 after spending four seasons as an assistant coach at Colgate (2012-16).

“I’m incredibly honored and excited for the opportunity to become the Head Coach of PWHL Detroit and beyond grateful for the trust placed in me to help lead the organization from the beginning,” Sciba said. “This is home and especially meaningful for me and my entire family, knowing Detroit’s rich hockey history and identity firsthand and how much the women’s hockey community has been yearning for this moment. Working alongside Manon, someone who has meant so much to the growth of the sport, is a journey I’m so fortunate to be on, with her passion, leadership, and vision that will make Detroit a destination for players.”

Detroit is one of four expansion teams starting play in 2026-27, along with Las Vegas, San Jose and Hamilton, Ontario.

The PWHL now has doubled in size from its original six members in 2023: Boston, Minnesota, Montreal, New York, Ottawa and Toronto. Vancouver and Seattle entered the league in 2025.

–Field Level Media