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Why the Florida Gators’ One Fatal Flaw Could Cost Them Another Title

Don’t look now, but with Selection Sunday just four weekends away, the Florida Gators look like they intend to win another national championship.

Thanks to Wednesday’s 20-point win at Georgia…which followed a 19-point win at Texas A&M…which followed a 23-point home thrashing of Alabama…which followed a 47-point win at South Carolina, the Gators (18-6, 9-2 SEC) have built a one-game Southeastern Conference lead heading into Saturday’s first-place showdown with Kentucky in Gainesville, Fla.

They are a top-ten ranked team in the NET rankings as of Friday morning but fifth in KenPom, which is exactly where they were one year ago today. That’s just one of many good signs for the Gators.

Thanks to the nation’s most productive frontcourt — key returnees Thomas Haugh (17.5 ppg, 6.2 rpg), Alex Condon (13.3 ppg, 7.9 rpg) and Rueben Chinyelu (11.8 ppg, 11.8 rpg) — Florida leads the country in rebounding margin at plus-15.3 per game.

Per KenPom.com, the Gators boast the nation’s fifth-best defense as they allow just 91.1 points per 100 possessions. That’s a tad better than last year’s defense (91.8) that was good enough to win the NCAA title.

The sharps believe in the Gators, too. When you take a spin around the nation’s top online sportsbooks, Florida generally holds the fifth-best odds to take it all on April 6 in Indianapolis — trailing only Arizona, Michigan, Duke and Houston.

Long story short, the Gators are the best team in what continues to be college basketball’s best league. So of course they’re in the hunt for the national title.

So why doesn’t Florida have a legitimate shot to go back-to-back? Because they don’t have enough legitimate shooters.

Here’s what we mean: While the Gators enjoyed their best 3-point shooting night in months on Wednesday night at Georgia — going 10 of 26 (38.5%) from long range – they’re still below 30% for the year. Specifically, they’re at 29.2%, which ranks last among all power-conference teams and 353rd out of Division I’s 365 squads.

There’s nothing in modern college hoops history that suggests this is good enough to become the national champion.

Since the NCAA moved the 3-point line back to the international distance (22-foot-1¾) prior to the 2019-20 season, here’s how each NCAA champ has shot.

2025: Florida 35.6% 82nd in nation

2024: UConn 35.8% 72nd

2023: UConn 36.3% 62nd

2022: Kansas 36.1% 51st

2021: Baylor 41.3% 1st

2020: No tournament, but Kansas was the clear No. 1 per KenPom when the season was cancelled due to COVID — and the Jayhawks ranked 132nd nationally at 34.1%

If you look at last year’s Sweet Sixteen, only Michigan State (31.1%) was within a few percentage points of Florida’s current rate. It’s just too much to expect a bad 3-point shooting team to reel off six straight wins — especially when so many of the nation’s other top teams have embraced offenses with four or five shooters on the floor.

The Gators have just three guys who are hitting at least one 3-pointer per game: sixth man Urban Klavzar (49 of 127; 38.6%), Haugh (45 of 130; 34.6%) and shooting guard Xaivian Lee (37 of 145; 25.5%). As a team, Florida makes just 7.4 3-pointers per game.

Now look at the NET’s top 10 through Wednesday’s games. Here’s how they shoot from 3-point range, where that ranks nationally and how many guys average at least one 3-pointer per game:

Michigan: 35.4% 102 Six

Arizona: 35.7% 81 Three

Duke: 34.1% 175 Four

Houston: 34.1% 176 Four

Illinois: 36.1% 65 Seven

Gonzaga: 34.9% 133 Three

Florida: 29.2% 353 Three

UConn: 37.0% 39 Four

Iowa State: 40.0% 5 Four

Purdue: 37.7% 28 Five

One of these things is not like the others. That’s why the Gators won’t be able to separate themselves from the rest for another “One Shining Moment.”

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Alabama tries to keep second-half barrage going vs. South Carolina

NCAA Basketball: Alabama at MississippiFeb 11, 2026; Oxford, Mississippi, USA; Alabama Crimson Tide head coach Nate Oats reacts with guard Latrell Wrightsell Jr. (3) after a basket during the second half against the Mississippi Rebels at The Sandy and John Black Pavilion at Ole Miss. Mandatory Credit: Petre Thomas-Imagn Images

Alabama’s players have been getting the message coach Nate Oats has preached during recent halftime talks.

In their current three-game winning streak, the Crimson Tide have put up an average of 58 points in the second halves of wins over Texas A&M, Auburn and Ole Miss.

Alabama (17-7, 7-4 SEC) returns home to play South Carolina (11-13, 2-9) on Saturday night in Tuscaloosa, Ala.

In Wednesday’s 93-74 win over the Revels, the Tide scored a season-low 32 points in the first half, but converted 12 of 22 from behind the arc en route to a 61-point second-half effort.

Five players scored in double figures for Alabama, with Latrell Wrightsell Jr. leading the way. Wrightsell finished with 21 points and connected on 7 of 13 from deep, tying his career high for 3-pointers made.

The sixth-year guard, who missed all of SEC play in 2024-25 due to injury, was a game-time decision after leaving the previous game with a right knee issue.

“I’m super proud of Wrightsell,” Oats said after the game. “One of the smaller guards was going to have to be removed from the starting lineup and he stepped up and was willing to do it so the team would have a better chance of winning. I’ve always had the thought that when you do things like that, you get rewarded.”

Wrightsell, who averages 12.3 points per game, has converted 22 of 42 treys over his last five outings.

Tide guard Labaron Philon Jr. leads the SEC with 21.4 points per game.

The Gamecocks are headed in the opposite direction, having lost five straight and 25 of their last 29 SEC contests dating back to last year. South Carolina was manhandled 78-59 at home by Missouri last Saturday.

The Gamecocks only trailed 34-30 at halftime, but were outrebounded 44-28 and allowed 16 second-chance points.

“I said, ‘It’s a great job you did to hold these guys to 23 points in the first half.’ I think they looked and were a little confused,” said coach Lamont Paris, recalling his halftime speech. “I said, ‘Yeah, 23 points, guys, 23 you held them to. No, you gave them 11 more on the second-chance opportunities, but you held them to 23 points.’ So we were doing things, we were in the right spots, we were getting them to miss tough shots, and at the end of the day, you have to finish it off pretty consistently with a defensive rebound.”

Meechie Johnson, who played for the Gamecocks when they went 26-8 and reached No. 11 in the rankings two seasons ago, scored 13 points against the Tigers and leads his team with 16.3 points per game.

Alabama has won 20 of 22 home games against South Carolina, including eight in a row, dating back exactly 17 years to a 2009 Gamecocks’ Valentine’s Day victory.

–Field Level Media

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Ole Miss hosts Mississippi State with both teams slumping

NCAA Basketball: Alabama at MississippiFeb 11, 2026; Oxford, Mississippi, USA; Mississippi Rebels head coach Chris Beard reacts during the second half against the Alabama Crimson Tide at The Sandy and John Black Pavilion at Ole Miss. Mandatory Credit: Petre Thomas-Imagn Images

In-state rivals tangle in an effort to revive their fading NCAA Tournament hopes as Mississippi State visits Ole Miss on Saturday in Oxford, Miss.

The Rebels have lost six consecutive games, the Bulldogs have dropped eight of their last nine, and both appear to be out of the NCAA Tournament picture, as they are currently outside the top 80 of the NCAA’s NET Rankings.

Ole Miss (11-13, 3-8 Southeastern Conference) has not only dropped six games in a row, but the last three losses have come by a combined 48 points. The Rebels lost at home against Alabama 93-74 on Wednesday.

Ole Miss was within two points at the half but allowed 61 second-half points as Alabama drained 17 3-pointers in the game. AJ Storr scored 27 points off the bench for the Rebels, shooting 10-for-17, and Eduardo Klafke added 12 points and nine rebounds in the loss.

“Our defense not only didn’t do a good job defending the three tonight, we couldn’t force turnovers as well,” Ole Miss coach Chris Beard said. Beard later noted, “This team continues to fight … I appreciate how (the players) approached the tough times that we’ve gone through this season.”

Mississippi State (11-13, 3-8) has faced its share of challenges. Four of the Bulldogs’ recent losses were by 20 or more points. The Bulldogs fell 73-64 to Tennessee on Wednesday.

They trailed by 23 points at the midpoint of the second half but went on an 18-0 run to close the gap to 63-58 with 5:15 remaining. However, the Bulldogs couldn’t get any closer.

Mississippi State was outrebounded 45-31 and came up short despite 31 points from veteran guard Josh Hubbard, who shot 13-for-24, including 4-for-9 from 3-point range. Hubbard was the only Bulldog who scored in double figures.

“We certainly have been inconsistent,” Mississippi State coach Chris Jans said.

Jans praised the team’s second-half run, but noted, “It’s got to be from the get-go. It’s got to be all the time.”

–Field Level Media

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ATP roundup: Taylor Fritz rallies late to reach Dallas semis

Tennis: Australian OpenJan 26, 2026; Melbourne, Victoria, Australia; Taylor Fritz of United States in action against Lorenzo Musetti of Italy in the fourth round of the menís singles at the Australian Open at Rod Laver Arena in Melbourne Park. Mandatory Credit: Mike Frey-Imagn Images

Top-seeded Taylor Fritz overcame a 5-2 deficit in the third-set tiebreaker, winning the final five points to rally past fellow U.S. player Sebastian Korda 6-7 (2), 6-4, 7-6 (5) in the quarterfinals of the Nexo Dallas Open on Friday.

The match featured just one service break, which Fritz earned in the final game of the second set. Each player had one break point in the middle of the final set but couldn’t take advantage.

Fritz’s opponent in the semifinals will be Croatia’s Marin Cilic, who downed British qualifier Jack Pinnington Jones 6-1, 6-4.

The other semifinal will feature the winners of two Friday night matches: second-seeded Ben Shelton of the U.S. vs. Serbia’s Miomir Kecmanovic, and seventh-seeded Denis Shapovalov of Canada, the defending champion, against third-seeded Alejandro Davidovich Fokina of Spain.

ABN Amro Open

The last two Dutch players in the draw fell in the quarterfinals at Rotterdam, Netherlands, extending a streak in which a home-grown player last won the championship in 1998, when Jan Siemerink prevailed.

Top-seeded Alex de Minaur of Australia overtook the Netherlands’ Botic van de Zandschulp 3-6, 7-6 (4), 7-5. van de Zandschulp committed 60 unforced errors to de Minaur’s 33, more than offsetting the Dutch player’s 33-15 edge in winners.

Second-seeded Felix Auger-Aliassime of Canada, the 2022 Rotterdam champion, downed seventh-seeded Tallon Griekspoor of the Netherlands 7-6 (2), 6-2.

Third-seeded Alexander Bublik of Kazakhstan edged Spain’s Jaume Munar 6-4, 6-7 (4), 7-6 (3), and France’s Ugo Humbert toppled Australian qualifier Christopher O’Connell 6-4, 6-1.

IEB+ Argentina Open

Second-seeded Luciano Darderi of Italy bested Spain’s Pedro Martinez 7-5, 6-1 to join three Argentines in the semifinals at Buenos Aires.

Darderi piled up nine aces, saved all four break points he faced and compiled a 37-6 edge in winners.

Top-seeded Argentine Francisco Cerundolo, a finalist in the event last year, eliminated the Czech Republic’s Vit Kopriva 6-4, 6-3. In an all-Argentina matchup, fourth-seeded Sebastian Baez beat sixth-seeded Camilo Ugo Carabelli 7-6 (5), 6-2. Seventh-seeded Tomas Martin Etcheverry of Argentina got past Chile’s Alejandro Tabilo 1-6, 6-3, 6-4.

–Field Level Media

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