Sports
NBA Draft Lottery 2026: Odds, Format, and How It All Works
Late Dodgers broadcaster Vin Scully delivered arguably one of the greatest assessments of sports’ relationship with chance moments before the Kirk Gibson home run in the 1988 World Series.
“And with two out, you talk about a roll of the dice, this is it,” Scully said.
It’s unlikely that such an iconic call will emerge from Sunday’s NBA Draft Lottery in Chicago (3 p.m. ET, ABC), although the event at McCormick Place still stands to leave a legacy.
The NBA is expected to amend the current format, effective next spring.
Say it ain’t so, 14-ping-pong-ball-system enthusiasts.
While reciting Lottery ins and outs might not be as easy as remembering post time at your Kentucky Derby party, this primer is the ticket to impressing whichever gathering you’re among ahead of Knicks-76ers Game 4 later Sunday afternoon.
How does this year’s NBA Draft Lottery work?
The NBA Draft Lottery sets the order of selection for the first 14 picks of the league’s annual draft, slated for June 23-24 at Barclays Center in Brooklyn. This is Lottery No. 42 if you’re scoring – or pulling ping-pong balls – at home. Actually, you can sort of do the latter, but more on that later.
Fourteen ping-pong balls, numbered 1 through 14, are used for the drawing, representing the teams that didn’t qualify for the playoffs. Per math whizzes and NBA.com, there are 1,001 possible combinations when four balls are pulled out of 14 “without regard to their order of selection.”
The NBA assigns 1,000 combinations to the participating lottery teams. The team that’s assigned the combination that is drawn receives the No. 1 pick in the draft. The NBA uses the same process for the Nos. 2-4 picks. The league discards the result and redraws if the same team “wins” more than once or the unassigned combo is chosen.
I played bingo with my grandma a few times growing up. Are these balls jumping around all afternoon?
Nah, not quite. On Sunday, the balls are placed in the lottery machine and mixed for 20 seconds before the first one is drawn. The balls that remain are mixed for another 10 seconds before the second one is chosen. Additional 10-second mixes transpire before the third and fourth balls are drawn.
Drawings take place before the draft order is broadcast on national TV.
Ten-second mixes, eh? Which lucky DJ gets to be on hand?
The NBA holds lottery drawings in a separate room. A representative from the accounting firm Ernst & Young witnesses the proceedings, alongside league office members, representatives from each lottery team, and select media members.
Later, NBA Deputy Commissioner and Chief Operating Officer Mark Tatum announces the results upon opening envelopes in reverse order. That is, the 14th pick is revealed first and the first pick last.
Which teams have the best odds of landing the top pick?
The Washington Wizards, Indiana Pacers and Brooklyn Nets each have a 14% chance, based on regular-season finish. However, recent history shows it’s anybody’s ping-pong ballgame. The Dallas Mavericks had just a 1.8% chance last year before winning the lottery and landing eventual Rookie of the Year Cooper Flagg.
Atlanta had merely a 3% chance in 2024 but still won.
The Lottery ensures that the team with the worst record selects no worse than fifth overall. Teams in positions 5-14 will pick according to reverse order of their records during the regular season, though tiebreakers could add further jockeying.
How do I try this at home?
ESPN Analytics unveiled a draft lottery simulator last week. Godspeed.
Sports
Blue Jays search for solutions to struggles at Tampa Bay
May 4, 2026; St. Petersburg, Florida, USA; Toronto Blue Jays first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (27) reacts after striking out against the Tampa Bay Rays in the first inning at Tropicana Field. Mandatory Credit: Nathan Ray Seebeck-Imagn Images After picking up Monday right where they left off over the weekend, the Tampa Bay Rays will try to win their three-game series with the Toronto Blue Jays on Tuesday night in St. Petersburg, Fla.
The Rays, who are a season-best 10 games over .500 after winning 5-1 in the opener, have prevailed in 10 of their past 11 contests.
They turned to a less familiar name on Monday: Ryan Vilade.
Batting third, the 27-year-old Texan slugged a three-run homer that was all the Rays needed to secure their fourth straight victory.
Hitting .286 for the season, Vilade is batting .357 with nine RBIs and an .936 OPS over his past 14 games.
Tampa Bay’s Jonathan Aranda, who went 3-for-4 on Monday, is 9-for-13 in his past three outings, and Rays starter Nick Martinez moved to 3-1 with a 1.71 ERA after producing five innings of one-run ball.
The Rays are 12-2 in games started by either Martinez or Steven Matz.
Tampa Bay beat the Blue Jays four straight times last May — once in Toronto, three times in Tampa — and Rays manager Kevin Cash noticed a change as the Jays cut a path to the World Series.
“I remember that series in May, we swept them,” Cash said Monday on the team’s radio pregame show. “But they did a nice job of resetting themselves. They got great production from top to bottom of their lineup.
“They played really good defense. That is probably the thing that changed the most for me. … They weren’t giving extra outs, and a pretty electric bullpen.”
Three games under .500 and 6-11 away from home, the reigning American League champion Blue Jays are visiting arguably their least favorite venue. Toronto has lost nine of its past 11 games at Tampa Bay — either in Tampa or St. Petersburg — and hasn’t posted a winning record on the road vs. the Rays since 2014.
“It’s not the building, it’s not the turf, it’s not the roof, it’s not the lights, it’s not anything,” Blue Jays manager John Schneider said. “(The Rays) are a good team. You’ve got to play better is the bottom line.”
Tuesday’s matchup will feature two powerful right-handers.
The Blue Jays will send out Kevin Gausman (2-2, 3.10 ERA), possessor of a darting splitter, for his eighth start of the season.
In 5 2/3 innings against Minnesota in his last outing on Thursday, the 14-year veteran yielded four runs on four hits in 5 2/3 innings while walking two and fanning two.
In 24 starts and two relief stints against the Rays, Gausman is 8-9 with a 4.06 ERA.
Tampa Bay will counter with Drew Rasmussen (2-1, 2.64 ERA), who lost his latest start in Cleveland after allowing three runs (two earned) on six hits in five innings on Wednesday.
In his 30 2/3 innings over six starts, the right-hander has a 0.848 WHIP that would lead the AL if he had pitched enough innings to qualify.
Rasmussen is 2-4 with a 2.65 ERA in nine starts and two relief appearances against the Blue Jays.
–Field Level Media
Sports
Yankees bring surging offense into rematch vs. Rangers
May 4, 2026; Bronx, New York, USA; New York Yankees left fielder Jasson Dominguez (24) hits an RBI single during the eighth inning against the Baltimore Orioles at Yankee Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Vincent Carchietta-Imagn Images The New York Yankees did not do much offensively last week and yet recorded a series win in a three-game set against the host Texas Rangers.
The Yankees, who battered the Baltimore Orioles in the past four games, hope to keep rolling at the plate Tuesday night when they host Texas in the opener of a three-game series.
The Yankees are 14-2 in their past 16 games, and two of those wins were in Texas, where they scored seven runs in a pair of close games.
New York is seeking its fifth straight win after scoring 39 runs against Baltimore. The Yankees totaled 47 hits, 24 walks and went 18-for-38 with runners in scoring position in the series.
“It’s been great,” New York starting pitcher Cam Schlittler said of New York’s offense. “We’ve been on a really good roll these last couple of series. It’s fun to see one through nine contributing, putting up great at-bats and driving runs in.”
New York concluded the Baltimore series with a 12-1 rout on Monday. Aaron Judge has 11 of his 14 homers this season during his past 21 games and hit a two-run blast in the first inning before adding a two-run single in a six-run eighth.
After the Yankees faced an opponent with a 4.96 ERA, they will face Texas’ Jacob deGrom (2-1, 2.01 ERA) for the second time in a week.
The right-hander took the loss against New York last Tuesday despite allowing one run on six hits in six innings in a 3-2 setback.
He yielded an RBI double to Cody Bellinger in the first inning after a single by Judge and held the Yankees hitless in the next 11 at-bats. The former Cy Young Award winner is 2-5 with a 2.97 ERA in nine career starts against the Yankees.
deGrom is part of a pitching staff with a 3.66 ERA, but the Rangers are hitting .235 and their 127 runs are the fewest in the American League.
Texas has dropped nine of its past 14 games and has scored more than five runs in only one of those contests. Texas also has scored fewer than three runs in that span seven times, including the final two games of its series in Detroit.
After earning a 5-4 victory on Friday, the Rangers went 0-for-11 with runners in scoring position in the past two games.
Texas’ defense faltered in a 7-1 loss to the Tigers on Sunday night, including center fielder Evan Carter failing to finish a diving catch.
“We weren’t real fundamentally sound like we’re typically used to,” Texas manager Skip Schumaker said. “We had some really good plays. The outfield had some really good plays, there were some plays in the infield that were really good as well, but there were some plays that we’re used to making that we didn’t.”
While Corey Seager collected a hit in each of the games in Detroit, he is 4-for-27 in his past seven contests. Seager’s slump is coinciding with Josh Jung batting .378 during a 12-game hitting streak.
New York right-hander Elmer Rodriguez (0-1, 4.50 ERA), who is in the rotation until Carlos Rodon completes his rehab from left elbow surgery, will make his second career start. He debuted Wednesday afternoon in Texas and allowed two runs on four hits in four innings of a 3-0 loss.
–Field Level Media
Sports
Royals out for a second win against Guardians in AL Central showdown
May 4, 2026; Kansas City, Missouri, USA; Kansas City Royals shortstop Bobby Witt Jr. (7) steals third base against the Cleveland Guardians during the seventh inning at Kauffman Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Denny Medley-Imagn Images The Kansas City Royals are in the midst of their most successful stretch of the young season.
Now, the Royals will try for a fifth consecutive win when they continue their four-game home series with the Cleveland Guardians, who they are chasing in the American League Central, on Tuesday night.
Kansas City trailed 2-0 early Monday, then scored four runs in the fourth inning en route to a 6-2 victory over Cleveland.
Bobby Witt Jr. led off the frame with a solo homer, and Nick Loftin capped the big inning with a two-out, two-run tiebreaking single for the Royals, who have averaged 5.8 runs amid their 9-3 stretch that’s followed an eight-game losing streak.
“I think the intensity, pitch-to-pitch, really (sticks) to me,” Kansas City manager Matt Quatraro said of his team’s performance of late.
“Not one guy is trying to be the hero.”
Witt is batting .302 with three homers and eight RBIs in the past 15 games. Meanwhile, teammate Vinnie Pasquantino is 7-for-18 in four games this month after ending April with a .165 average.
“It’s not about getting 10 hits in a row with runners in scoring position,” Pasquantino said. “It’s about just having quality at-bats, making the pitcher work.”
However, Witt and Pasquantino are a combined 4-for-36 against right-hander Gavin Williams (5-1, 2.70 ERA), the scheduled Cleveland starter on Tuesday.
The Guardians are 6-1 when Williams has pitched this season. All of those victories followed a loss in his 2026 debut at Seattle on March 27, and they include the 5 2/3 innings he threw during a 2-1 win over Kansas City on April 7 — when he yielded only a Carter Jensen homer.
Williams is 2-1 with a 2.28 ERA in nine career starts against the Royals.
After allowing a season-high six runs in six innings of an 8-6 win at Toronto on April 24, Williams gave up an unearned run and struck out nine without a walk in Wednesday’s 3-1 victory over Tampa Bay.
“When Gavin throws strikes, that’s what you get,” Guardians manager Stephen Vogt said.
Cleveland has lost two games in a row following a three-game winning streak. David Fry hit a two-run homer and had two of the five hits Monday for the Guardians, who have been outscored 13-3 in the past two contests.
Jose Ramirez singled in the series opener, but the Cleveland star continues to struggle while batting .218, well below his career average of .278.
Steven Kwan is another Cleveland star who is scuffling at the plate. He’s 0-for-8 in the past two games — dropping his batting average to .217. On May 5 of last season, his average was .333.
Ramirez and Kwan will try their luck Tuesday against right-hander Stephen Kolek, who will come off the injured list (left oblique strain) to make his season debut. He is stepping in for scheduled starter Noah Cameron, who has been scratched due to tightness in his lower back.
The Royals acquired Kolek (5-7, 3.51 ERA in 2025) from the San Diego Padres last season at the trade deadline. They received Kolek and right-hander Ryan Bergert for catcher Freddy Fermin.
With the Royals, Kolek started five games and was 1-2 with a 1.91 ERA. In his two losses, the Royals scored a combined two runs.
Kolek has faced the Guardians twice (one start) and has no decisions and a 6.75 ERA.
–Field Level Media
