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MLB Best Bets Today: Guardians Value Play and White Sox-Giants Total

Apr 19, 2026; Cleveland, Ohio, USA; Cleveland Guardians third baseman Jose Ramirez (11) runs the bases after hitting a solo home run off Baltimore Orioles starting pitcher Trevor Rogers (28) during the fifth inning at Progressive Field. Mandatory Credit: David Dermer-Imagn ImagesApr 19, 2026; Cleveland, Ohio, USA; Cleveland Guardians third baseman Jose Ramirez (11) runs the bases after hitting a solo home run off Baltimore Orioles starting pitcher Trevor Rogers (28) during the fifth inning at Progressive Field. Mandatory Credit: David Dermer-Imagn Images

My “bonus” selection didn’t pan out on Wednesday, so let’s stick to two MLB picks today as we head into the long weekend.

Season Record 25-21-1, +1.12 Units

Guardians at Phillies

Okay, this is a tough one as we’re going against one of the top starters in baseball.

The Phillies roll out Cristopher Sanchez and he has so far followed up his top three Cy Young performances in 2025 with an even better 1.82 ERA encore 2026. The one mini knock against him was he did not have exciting strikeout numbers, Well, he’s up to 29.9% K% (91st percentile) and 32% Whiff% (90th percentile) while maintaining his extreme worm-burner ways (59% GB%, 98th percentile). His WHIP is “elevated” at 1.20 thanks to a high .359 BABIP and we can’t attribute that all to bad luck as he’s giving up harder contact than usual. Plus he’s got a bad defensive team behind him as the Phillies rank fifth worst in MLB with -8 Fielding Runs allowed (not including Catcher defense).

Still, why fade this, especially with a Phillies offense that’s hitting much better lately? Well the Guardians have excelled in this spot. They’re 13-4, 42% ROI on the F5 run line as underdogs. Also they’re 12-3, 58.1% ROI vs. lefty starters on the F5. They don’t have the most imposing lineup, but they’ve hit well against southpaws with a 113 wRC+, seventh best in MLB. Jose Ramirez not shockingly leads the way at .340/.438/.679 and 5 homers in just 64 PA’s.

The Guardians will start Gavin Williams, who sporadically flashes ace stuff but can also walk the farm. That hasn’t been a problem lately however as he has just a 3.7% BB% over his last six starts, vs. a 27.3% K%. Unfortunately that hasn’t translated to great bottom line numbers as he has just a 4.42 ERA. Like Sanchez, he’s not controlling contact well. But importantly his team defense is much better, so there’s serious potential for a lights out performance any time Williams takes the mound. I know it’s an uphill battle in this game but I like the price on the dog here.

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White Sox at Giants

I know the “bingo card” analogy is a little tiresome, but who had Davis Martin vs. Trevor McDonald matchup as a battle of budding aces? I’m overstating a bit, but Martin has a 1.61 ERA and 0.98 WHIP in 56 IP for the surprisingly competitive White Sox. Estimators will always expect those sorts of numbers to regress, but he’s got a 22.8% K-BB% and 3.02 SIERA, so he’s been legit terrific. McDonald meanwhile has replaced the injured Logan Webb and way outpitched him with a 2.37 ERA and 1.00 WHIP over 19 IP in three starts.

What’s most impressive is that he’s done that in very tough matchups (Padres, at Dodgers, at A’s) and the metrics say it’s pretty real as he’s rocking a 2.62 SIERA. It’s a pitchers ballpark and the Giants have a lousy offense, so runs should be at a premium here.

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BetBoom, 9z, G2 move on to Stage 3 at IEM Cologne

Nov 5, 2022; San Francisco, California, USA; Fans react during the League of Legends World Championships between T1 and DRX at Chase Center. Mandatory Credit: Kelley L Cox-Imagn ImagesNov 5, 2022; San Francisco, California, USA; Fans react during the League of Legends World Championships between T1 and DRX at Chase Center. Mandatory Credit: Kelley L Cox-Imagn Images

BetBoom Team, 9z Team and G2 Esports won their Round 4 high matches in Stage 2 on Monday to move onto Stage 3 at the Intel Extreme Masters Cologne Major in Germany.

They will await three more teams to join them in Stage 3, as the Swiss System format concludes Tuesday to determine the last of the 16 participants in Stage 3.

Eight teams were seeded directly into Stage 3: Team Vitality, Natus Vincere, Team Falcons, The MongolZ, PARIVISION, Aurora Gaming, FURIA and MOUZ. FUT Esports and Team Spirit joined them by going 3-0 in Stage 2.

Teams are competing for their share of the Counter-Strike 2 tournament’s $1.25 million prize pool with the grand final scheduled for June 21. The champion receives $500,000.

Advancement and elimination matches in Stage 2 are best-of-three. All other Stage 2 matches were a single map.

In the first Monday high match (between teams with 2-1 records), BetBoom opened with a 13-7 win over Monte on Nuke. Monte followed with a 13-6 victory on Mirage before BetBoom registered a 13-8 triumph on Dust II. Kirill “Magnojez” Rodnov paced all-Russian BetBoom with 58 kills and a plus-26 kills-deaths differential. Bulgaria’s Aleks “Rainwaker” Petrov led Monte with 47 kills and a plus-5 K-D differential.

In the second high match, 9z made quick work of TYLOO, posting a sweep with wins on Overpass (13-10) and Inferno (13-6). Franco “dgt” Garcia of Uruguay led the way for 9z, posting 40 kills and a plus-21 K-D differential. Qianhao “Moseyuh” Chen of all-Chinese TYLOO notched a team-high 29 kills and an even K-D differential.

In the third high match, G2 also picked up a sweep, taking out BIG on Inferno (13-3) and Mirage (13-8). For G2, Guy “NertZ” Iluz of Israel delivered 39 kills and a plus-21 K-D differential. Gleb “gr1ks” Gazin of Belarus led BIG with 23 kills and a minus-2 K-D differential.

In the first of three elimination matches, B8 recovered from a 13-7 loss on Mirage against MIBR, posting back-to-back wins on Nuke (13-10) and Ancient (13-8). Legacy swept M80 with wins on Dust II (13-8) and Inferno (16-13 in overtime). paiN Gaming topped Astralis 2-0, prevailing 13-11 on Nuke and a 13-4 on Overpass.

Stage 3 finishes Tuesday with three matches featuring teams with 2-2 records:

–Monte vs. paiN Gaming

–TYLOO vs. Legacy

–BIG vs. B8

Intel Extreme Masters Cologne Major prize pool

1. $500,000

2. $170,000

3-4. $80,000

5-8. $45,000

9-11. $15,000

12-14. $15,000

15-16. $15,000

17-19. $10,000

20-22. $10,000 — MIBR, M80, Astralis

23-24. $10,000 — GamerLegion, FlyQuest

25-27. $5,000 — Lynn Vision Gaming, NRG, Team Liquid

28-30. $5,000 — THUNDERdOWNUNDER, Sharks Esports, HEROIC

31-32. $5,000 — Gaimin Gladiators, SINNERS Esports

–Field Level Media

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Mariners dealing with injuries ahead of rematch vs. Orioles

Jun 8, 2026; Baltimore, Maryland, USA; Seattle Mariners first baseman Josh Naylor (12) celebrates with his teammates after scoring a run during the eighth inning against the Baltimore Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Mandatory Credit: Daniel Kucin Jr.-Imagn ImagesJun 8, 2026; Baltimore, Maryland, USA; Seattle Mariners first baseman Josh Naylor (12) celebrates with his teammates after scoring a run during the eighth inning against the Baltimore Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Mandatory Credit: Daniel Kucin Jr.-Imagn Images

Making adjustments is bound to be a key for the Seattle Mariners and Baltimore Orioles as they face off in a four-game series this week.

The teams will meet in Baltimore for the second time Tuesday night, a day after some roster adjustments.

The Mariners will be without shortstop J.P. Crawford for the series after he was placed on the 10-day injured list with a contusion on his right hand. He was hit by a pitch in Friday’s game at Detroit.

“We think it’s probably the smart thing to do at this point,” Seattle manager Dan Wilson said of the IL move.

The Orioles already altered their rotation to begin the series with Seattle. The teams will meet seven times in an 11-day period.

The Mariners, largely courtesy of Josh Naylor’s grand slam, won 6-3 in Monday night’s series opener. They’re 2-3 since winning eight games in a row.

Seattle played its most recent game without rookie infielder Colt Emerson, who had been plugged in at shortstop during the weekend. He had back tightness and was scratched from Monday’s lineup.

Crawford’s roster replacement is infielder Ryan Bliss, who supplied a sacrifice fly in the series opener. Bliss played as the second baseman, and Cole Young, who has had a heavy workload all spring, shifted to shortstop.

“He seems to be maintaining his strength and stamina,” Wilson said of Young. “It has been outstanding.”

The Orioles will try to snap a three-game skid Tuesday after blown chances in the series opener.

“We knew we had to grind and really force them to work, and we did that,” Baltimore manager Craig Albernaz said. “We just couldn’t come through with the big blow. But it’s one of those games where you’re proud of how they fought.”

The Orioles have had some recent baserunning snafus, a glaring one when Blaze Alexander tagged up from first base and was thrown out at second on a play that cost them a run on what would have been a sacrifice fly.

“It’s one of those things; I love the aggressiveness,” Albernaz said. “It’s just smart aggressiveness (we need).”

Right-hander Logan Gilbert (4-4, 3.79 ERA) will start on Tuesday for the Mariners, aiming for his third consecutive win.

Gilbert hasn’t given up a run in his last three road outings, blanking the Athletics, Kansas City Royals and Chicago White Sox in a total of 17 2/3 innings. In those three games, he has struck out 21 and walked four.

Gilbert has made three career starts vs. the Orioles, going 1-1 with a 3.38 ERA in 18 2/3 innings. The victory came in 2023 in Baltimore.

The Orioles had a disruption before the series when starter Chris Bassitt went on the 15-day injury list Monday due to low back discomfort, but that move shouldn’t directly impact the rotation for the rest of the series.

Left-hander Trevor Rogers (3-6, 6.29 ERA) is Baltimore’s projected starter on Tuesday. He won for the first time since April 1 after allowing one run on five hits in 5 2/3 innings on Thursday in an 8-2 victory at Boston.

Rogers has made two career starts against Seattle without a decision. His ERA in those games is 2.03 over 13 1/3 innings.

–Field Level Media

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Surging Yankees continue 'gritty' series vs. Guardians

Jun 3, 2026; Bronx, New York, USA; New York Yankees pitcher Gerrit Cole (45) reacts after giving up a hit during the third inning against the Cleveland Guardians at Yankee Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Vincent Carchietta-Imagn ImagesJun 3, 2026; Bronx, New York, USA; New York Yankees pitcher Gerrit Cole (45) reacts after giving up a hit during the third inning against the Cleveland Guardians at Yankee Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Vincent Carchietta-Imagn Images

It’s still early June, but this week’s series between the visiting New York Yankees and the Cleveland Guardians has the feel of a postseason matchup.

The Guardians will look to even the three-game set at one win apiece on Tuesday night after New York emerged with a 7-5 victory in 10 innings on Monday.

Both managers turned to their bullpens early and often in a game that featured 12 relievers.

Paul Goldschmidt and Ryan McMahon each homered for New York, which won for the ninth time in its last 13 games and is in a virtual tie with Tampa Bay for first place in the American League East.

Goldschmidt is batting .314 with three homers and 13 RBIs over his last 12 games. Cody Bellinger has 11 RBIs in his last 12 games for the Yankees, who are playing without Aaron Judge (fractured right rib), designated hitter Giancarlo Stanton (calf strain) and catcher Austin Wells (cervical headaches).

“It wasn’t pretty, but very gritty,” Yankees manager Aaron Boone said after Monday’s win. “A lot of really winning things that guys did, and everyone obviously involved. A really tough team over there. … A lot of winning plays there to get us to the finish line.”

The word “gritty” also was used in the Cleveland clubhouse after the Guardians lost for the fourth time in their last five games.

Cleveland, which leads the AL Central, went 0-for-11 with runners in scoring position and stranded 11 runners on Monday. Manager Stephen Vogt turned to Cade Smith in a tie game in the eighth inning and saw his closer allow one hit with three strikeouts across 1 2/3 scoreless innings.

“Every game we’ve played with them has been gritty,” Smith said. “They’re a good team over there, and we’re a good team here. It’s going to be a war of attrition to go out there and win, but that’s what we all work for.”

Tuesday’s pitching matchup will feature a pair of right-handers as New York’s Gerrit Cole (1-1, 2.00 ERA) faces Cleveland’s Slade Cecconi (3-5, 4.92).

Cole allowed four runs on six hits over 5 1/3 innings in a 5-4 home loss to the Guardians last Wednesday.

After tossing 12 2/3 scoreless innings in his first two starts since returning from Tommy John surgery, Cole allowed three homers in Wednesday’s loss.

“I thought he threw the ball well,” Boone said. “I thought he located pretty well. They pressured him. They were aggressive with him, put the ball in play on him. But obviously, the long ball was the difference.”

Jose Ramirez is 14-for-39 (.359) with three homers against Cole, who is 7-3 with a 3.09 ERA in 12 career starts vs. Cleveland.

The Guardians will counter with Cecconi, who pitched six innings of one-run ball in a no-decision against the Yankees on Thursday. Cleveland lost 2-1.

Cecconi walked one and struck out four while throwing 53 of his 82 pitches for strikes.

“Slade was phenomenal,” Vogt said. “He did a great job keeping us in that game. We knew going into it that it needed to be a low-scoring affair. I thought Slade threw the ball excellently.”

Cecconi is 0-1 with a 2.63 ERA in three career games (two starts) against the Yankees.

–Field Level Media

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