Tech
When will fusion power startup Commonwealth Fusion Systems go public?
Commonwealth Fusion Systems (CFS) is the best-funded fusion power startup, having raised $4 billion from investors over the last seven years, including the $1 billion the company has raised now.
Now, developments at CFS, plus rumblings from industry sources TechCrunch has spoken with in recent months, suggest that the startup might go public in the next two or three years.
One of those developments was the appointment of Lorence Kim as CFS’s new chief financial officer this week. Kim’s previous stint as a CFO was at Moderna, a biotech which specializes in mRNA therapies, which he joined in 2014 and subsequently helped take public in December 2018. He stuck around another year-and-a-half before returning to biotech investing.
Kim said he sees “something very familiar” in CFS. “Fusion today is where mRNA was a decade ago: scientifically real, commercially yet-to-be-proven, and closer than the consensus thinks,” he wrote in a LinkedIn post.
The choice might seem unusual, but Kim isn’t the first fusion executive to come with a background in the biotech world: Eric Lander, who helped lead the Human Genome Project, co-founded Pacific Fusion and now serves as its CEO.
“Lorence offers the unique experience of bringing to the world a completely novel, mission-driven product that sits at the intersection of breakthrough deep science, geopolitical urgency, and deployment at scale and speed,” Christine Dunn, head of external communications at CFS, told TechCrunch. She added that Kim said his arrival doesn’t necessarily mean that IPO preparations are underway.
Moderna took four-and-a-half years to IPO after Kim joined. But given the progress at CFS (and Kim’s recent arrival, protestations notwithstanding), the startup is likely to go public sooner than that.
A few points support our theory of a shorter timeline.
First, Moderna develops therapies for human diseases that don’t hit the market until they’re approved by the FDA, which requires data from lengthy and costly clinical trials. That timeline is driven by the fact that human lives are at stake.
With fusion, however, the potential of deadly errors is lower. Fusion reactors fizzle out instead of melting down, so they’re safer than fission reactors. Recognizing that, federal regulators have given the fusion industry guidelines that are distinct from the fission industry. In that sense, CFS has greater control over its destiny.
Second, CFS is making steady progress on Sparc, its demonstration reactor. Years ago, it had hoped to get the device up and running by 2025, and it is now targeting a launch later this year. Still, a large, first-of-a-kind project can avoid some delays, and CFS has managed to keep them from becoming excessive. The company hopes that by next year, Sparc will achieve scientific breakeven — when a fusion reaction produces more energy than was required to start it.
So far, only one experiment has achieved scientific breakeven, so reaching that milestone would help CFS show investors that it is making steady progress toward commercialization.
Lastly, CFS has started work on its commercial-scale power plant, Arc. It has selected a site in Chesterfield County, Virginia, and has started receiving the necessary permits. CFS hopes to have Arc up and running in the early 2030s.
If CFS goes public in the coming years, it will still have several years of heavy expenditures ahead. From that perspective, hiring Kim may prove a wise move, considering he oversaw Moderna during its early years as a public company, when it was losing money until the COVID-19 pandemic delivered an unexpected windfall.
The current AI data center boom is a similar sort of black swan event, so it makes sense that CFS will want to strike before investor appetite wanes.
One fusion company, General Fusion, went public via a SPAC deal earlier this month, and another, TAE Technologies, will do so by merging with Trump Media and Technology Group. Tech companies today are buying electricity at seemingly any cost.
CFS knows this, having already sold half the output of its first power plant to Google. But IPO windows don’t last forever, and CFS won’t want to let this opportunity pass it by.
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Tech
Samsung expects memory shortage to worsen through 2027 and last until 2028
The ongoing shortage of RAM chips is not only expected to persist into the next year, but will likely intensify in 2027, with tight supply conditions lasting until at least 2028, according to Samsung, which manufactures and supplies roughly a third of the world’s memory chips.
Samsung said in its Q2 earnings call that frontier AI labs, desperate to obtain access to memory infrastructure, have been “sharing their medium- to long-term demand forecasts” directly with the Korean tech giant to secure future supply.
The high demand enables Samsung to prioritize customers willing to sign long-term contracts. This multi-year visibility will allow the company to install equipment and ramp up production without worrying that demand will dry up, helping it avoid the memory industry’s historical boom-and-bust cycles.
Memory shortages driven by the AI boom have also pushed up chip prices in recent months. This has been a double-edged sword for Samsung: While sales at its semiconductor unit hit an all-time high in Q2, profitability in its smartphone and TV divisions shrank, as the higher-priced chips drove up component costs.
Samsung has even started passing some of those increasing component costs on to consumers by increasing the prices of its Galaxy smartphones and tablets. However, as a result, demand for these devices has dropped.
The memory shortage, informally dubbed “the RAMaggedon,” has also forced Apple, Samsung’s archrival, to raise the prices of its MacBooks, Macs, and iPads last month. On its latest earnings call, Apple warned that revenue growth for the upcoming quarter is projected to slow to between 9% and 11% year-over-year, down from its recent 16% quarterly growth rate.
With memory manufacturers shifting production capacity toward AI data centers and away from consumer electronics, consumers are facing a new reality: higher device prices. Nvidia is expected to raise its consumer graphics card prices by 20% to 30%, which may further drive up prices of gaming devices, desktop computers, consoles, laptops, and the like.
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Tech
GM and Ford are talking less and less about EVs
Just a few short years ago, General Motors and Ford were all in on electric vehicles, spending billions of dollars on those efforts. Now the two biggest American automakers are hardly talking about EVs with their investors.
TechCrunch teamed up with Hudson Labs, a New York-based financial research firm, to analyze the last seven years of GM and Ford quarterly earnings calls and found that both companies are talking about EVs at a lower rate than they did before the pandemic.
This shouldn’t shock anyone who’s followed the news over the last two years. Both companies have altered, delayed, or outright abandoned plans for new EV models, prompting layoffs and scaled-back factory plans. And while GM and Ford still sell EVs and have new models in their product pipelines, their collective focus has shifted, and it shows in the data.
Jim Cain, a spokesperson for GM, said that “quality counts more than quantity.”
“We’ve been very clear and consistent in communicating our view that EVs are the end game, the strength of our portfolio today, the loyalty of EV customers to the technology, awards we’ve won, our growing EV market share, and our commitment to continue investing in technologies like LMR (lithium manganese-rich) to improve profitability,” he said in an emailed statement.
But, he added, “we devote time on the calls to discuss growth opportunities like software and services and autonomous technology, and address complex topics of analyst/investor interest like trade and regulatory policy impacts, operating performance, capital allocation, regional performance, headwinds and tailwinds — all while making sure at least half the call is devoted to Q&A.”
Ford spokesperson David Tovar, meanwhile, pointed to the company’s planned launch of its new “Universal Electric Vehicle” platform next year. “[W]e think the first product rolling off the line, a midsize pickup truck, will hit the sweet spot of the EV market for cost, price, and technology,” he said.
For this analysis, TechCrunch excluded the ostensible third of the Detroit Big Three, Stellantis, for a few reasons. The automaker, which emerged in 2021 from the merger of Fiat Chrysler and France’s PSA Group, traditionally lagged behind its U.S. counterparts in EV adoption. Stellantis also, until the first quarter of this year, held comprehensive earnings calls only twice a year, instead of four times annually, like most public companies.
Hudson Labs sourced earnings call transcripts from S&P Market Intelligence dating back to 2019 and used its Co-Analyst — an AI research tool purpose-built for high-precision financial research — to assign topic tags to each sentence. It then counted the frequency of those topics, as well as each topic’s share of the discussion, to produce the charts below.
General Motors
GM bet on mass-market EVs before most other major automakers. It debuted the Bolt EV at the Consumer Electronics Show in January 2016 and put the car on sale by the end of that year — a healthy six months or so ahead of Tesla’s first deliveries of the Model 3.
EVs really became a focus of GM’s earnings calls as its investment ramped up in 2019 and into 2020. At that point, the company was teasing new made-in-the-U.S. models and talking about transforming Cadillac into an all-electric brand. GM spent an increasing amount of time talking about its EV plans through early 2021, with more than 100 references to electric vehicles on each of its last two earnings calls in 2020. That meant EVs accounted for roughly a third of the overall discussion on those calls.
Aside from a dip in the first quarter of 2021, when companies around the world were dealing with a major chip shortage, GM spent nearly the next four years — notably while President Biden was in office — dedicating around a quarter of each earnings call to discussing EVs. (Another notable dip that came in the first quarter of 2025 was attributable to President Trump’s “Liberation Day” tariffs, which dominated that earnings call.)
After Trump regained office, he slashed environmental regulations that incentivized zero-emissions vehicles, and his party tore up the $7,500 federal tax credit for new EVs. At the same time, GM’s talk of EVs dropped significantly, from 82 mentions on the second-quarter call in 2025, to just 21 on its most recent call covering Q2 2026.
While GM remains the second-largest seller of EVs in the U.S., the company that once made the lofty promise to go all-electric by 2035 is now talking more about how it has “align[ed] our EV capacity and manufacturing footprint with the changes in regulatory policy” — when it talks about EVs at all.
Ford
Ford’s first serious entry into the world of mass-market EVs was the Mustang Mach-E, which debuted in late 2019. As the company got closer to delivering the first models in late 2020, it started talking more and more about electric vehicles on its earnings calls.
Aside from a similar dip in mentions on the Q1 2021 call, which was bogged down by talk of the global semiconductor shortage, Ford — like GM — started spending around a third of each quarterly investor check-in talking about EVs. Those discussions were buoyed by the launch of its second major EV model, the F-150 Lightning, in 2021. And that level of focus largely held through the Biden years, as his administration freed up federal money for charging stations and EV manufacturing credits, while shaping policy around the battery material supply chain.
Ford began talking less about EVs before the 2024 election, though. By the middle of that year, the company was already backing away from some of its largest contemporary EV investments in favor of a skunkworks project that ultimately became the Universal Electric Vehicle platform. Talk of EVs dipped further after Trump took office, with CEO Jim Farley spending more time discussing support for the president’s protectionist trade policy and the company’s near-term focus on its higher-margin gas F-Series trucks.
Still, on Ford’s most recent call, Farley talked up the idea that the company “will become a major scaled competitor as we invest in affordable, versatile EVs.” But for that to happen, investors will have to wait until at least next year.
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Tech
Siri AI could come with a paywall for power users
In his final earnings call as CEO of Apple, Tim Cook said that the company’s long-awaited Siri AI upgrade could come with some paywalled limits. While Cook conceded that these plans are not set in stone, he envisions users being able to buy more compute for Siri AI via its existing iCloud+ subscriptions, which offer extended cloud storage.
“We do believe there will be people that want to use [Siri AI] a lot, and so we will have some kind of upgrade possibilities on iCloud+, where people can buy up the stack on iCloud+, and we’ll see how the pickup for that is,” Cook said on Thursday. “But we could not be more excited about where [Siri AI] is.”
Most other AI providers like Anthropic and OpenAI operate similarly, offering a limited free version to consumers with the option of upgrading to support more usage.
The new-and-improved Siri AI is available in the iOS 27 beta, and is planned to roll out more broadly this fall.
As longtime Senior Vice President of Hardware Engineering John Ternus steps into Tim Cook’s shoes, he will take the helm at a critical time for the company. Apple has fallen behind in its efforts to build an advanced AI assistant, even capitulating to its direct competitor Google by licensing a custom Gemini model to augment Siri. The Siri AI overhaul was so delayed that Apple had to pay $250 million to settle a class action lawsuit over how it marketed the iPhone 16’s AI capabilities.
Apple, like every other hardware manufacturer, is staring down a rocky road for accessing the supplies it needs to meet customer demand. Due to the AI-driven RAM shortage across the industry, it’s more expensive to build hardware, which has led companies like Meta, Samsung, Microsoft, and Sony to raise prices of some devices. Apple raised the price of Macs and iPads last month, but has yet to adjust the price of its existing iPhone models.
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