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UFC Vegas 118 Betting Picks: Three Fights to Target on Saturday Night

Oct 18, 2025; Vancouver, BC, CANADA; Reinier De Ridder (red gloves) fights Brendan Allen (blue gloves) during UFC Fight Night at Rogers Arena. Mandatory Credit: Simon Fearn-Imagn ImagesOct 18, 2025; Vancouver, BC, CANADA; Reinier De Ridder (red gloves) fights Brendan Allen (blue gloves) during UFC Fight Night at Rogers Arena. Mandatory Credit: Simon Fearn-Imagn Images

With just eight days to go before the highly anticipated night where they take over the White House, the UFC returns to its Las Vegas home at the Meta Apex for UFC Vegas 118.

The main event will be a welterweight battle that sees former UFC welterweight champion Belal Muhammad return to the Octagon to take on the rising Gabriel Bonfim.

Muhammad went on an 11-fight unbeaten streak between 2019 and 2024, culminating in his win over Leon Edwards to capture the UFC welterweight title at UFC 304. Muhammad, however, dropped the belt in his first defense to Jack Della Maddalena at UFC 315. He enters tonight’s fight off a loss to Ian Machado Garry at UFC Qatar in November.

Bonfim is 6-1 in the UFC since winning a contract on Dana White’s Contender Series in 2022. Bonfim has won four straight and two performance bonuses, as well as a Fight of the Night bonus in his loss to Nicolas Dalby. Bonfim enters tonight off a finish of Randy Brown at UFC Vegas 111 this past November.

The co-main event will be a middleweight matchup between Brendan Allen and Edmen Shahbazyan. Allen has won two straight and nine of his past 11 fights, most recently finishing Reinier de Ridder on short notice in the main event of October’s UFC Vancouver. Shahbazyan, meanwhile, had a career rebound in 2025, winning three fights, most recently knocking out Andre Muniz at UFC 320.

The rest of the main card will feature Fares Ziam vs. Tom Nolan, Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna, and Iwo Baraniewski vs. Junior Tafa.

BRENDAN ALLEN VS EDMEN SHAHBAZYAN

While it’s understandable that Shahbazyan is on a winning streak, this is not the same “Golden Boy” that the UFC had as an unbeaten prospect in 2019. Allen is one of the more talented names in the 185-pound division and has stacked up a solid resume since arriving in the UFC in 2019. After taking out Reinier de Ridder on short notice as he did, you could have assumed he’d be in talks for a middleweight title shot, or at least getting a contender’s bout against someone like Dricus Du Plessis. Instead, he faces an unranked fighter who started 2025 at risk of being cut.

Shahbazyan needs to establish control early. He needs to come out bringing pressure right away, and he needs to show solid takedown defense. If he can overwhelm Allen early, he gives him a better shot at getting his hand raised. If not, it’s going to be big trouble – and it might be hard for him to last five rounds with Allen.

BET: Brendan Allen to win (Moneyline) (DraftKings, FanDuel, & Caesars: -180)

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FARES ZIAM VS TOM NOLAN

After a 2-2 start to his UFC stint, Fares Ziam is on a solid six-fight win streak and slowly developing into a well-rounded fighter. Tom Nolan is on a four-fight win streak and has a big opportunity in front of him to make some noise at lightweight.

This fight will come down to whether Nolan can use his size and press his way inside, or if Ziam can keep distance and fight a well-rounded battle from the outside. Ziam’s opponent history and longer win streak should give him the upper hand here.

BET: Fares Ziam to win via KO/TKO OR decision (FanDuel: -180)

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IWO BARANIEWSKI VS JUNIOR TAFA

Billy Elekana was supposed to be in this fight instead of Junior Tafa, who is normally a heavyweight. It won’t make a difference; someone’s going to sleep in this fight.

Baraniewski is 8-0 in professional MMA, all first-round finishes and nothing has gone past 90 seconds since his appearance on Dana White’s Contender Series. Tafa has struggled in his UFC tenure, but he just knocked off Kevin Christian at UFC Perth last month. Both men have one-punch power that can change a fight in an instant. Baraniewski loves to make things short and sweet; however, the other key is his judo and jiu-jitsu background. For a kickboxer like Tafa, that could be problematic even if he tries to get inside and land that one punch.

BET: Baraniewski via KO/TKO in Round 1 (FanDuel: +140)

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Jimmy Crooks homer lifts Cards to rain-delayed win over Braves

Jul 10, 2026; St. Louis, Missouri, USA; St. Louis Cardinals third baseman Blaze Jordan (33) hits a double against the Atlanta Braves during the third inning at Busch Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jeff Curry-Imagn ImagesJul 10, 2026; St. Louis, Missouri, USA; St. Louis Cardinals third baseman Blaze Jordan (33) hits a double against the Atlanta Braves during the third inning at Busch Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jeff Curry-Imagn Images

Jimmy Crooks hit a go-ahead solo home run in the eighth inning on Friday to lift the St. Louis Cardinals to a 2-1 victory over the visiting Atlanta Braves.

After a rain delay of nearly three hours in the top of the fourth derailed the game, Crooks hit his second home run of the season off Atlanta’s Danny Young (0-1) to help the Cardinals claim the series opener. Kyle Leahy threw three scoreless frames, surrendering a single and striking out two for St. Louis before being replaced by George Soriano after the delay.

JoJo Romero (1-2) tossed a perfect eighth inning to earn the win, and first-time All-Star Riley O’Brien posted his 23rd save in 27 tries for the Cardinals, who had dropped five of six entering the game.

Chris Sale started for Atlanta, allowing two hits in three scoreless innings, striking out five and walking one before the delay. Victor Mederos threw a pair of impressive innings in relief for Atlanta, which mustered just three hits. Austin Riley’s fifth-inning RBI single accounted for the Braves’ only run, as the visitors lost their fourth game in six tries.

In the bottom of the third, Blaze Jordan ripped a one-out double for the game’s first extra-base hit. After Sale issued a two-out walk to JJ Wetherholt, Ivan Herrera’s flyout ended the threat.

With Ozzie Albies leading off in the fourth, the game was halted by rain. After the delay, Soriano struck out Albies before retiring Matt Olson and Drake Baldwin.

Atlanta struck first in the fifth, though, as Mike Yasztremski doubled and scored on Riley’s RBI single. Justin Bruihl then relieved Soriano and threw 1 2/3 scoreless frames.

Didier Fuentes took over in the sixth for the Braves, allowing a one-out walk to Wetherholt and consecutive singles to Herrera and Jordan Walker, tying the score at one apiece.

The St. Louis bullpen retired the final seven Atlanta batters in order, with two of them flying out to the warning track.

–Field Level Media

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Rockies awaken in 9th, rally past Giants

Jul 10, 2026; San Francisco, California, USA; Colorado Rockies outfielder Jake McCarthy (31) runs after bunting a pitch thrown by San Francisco Giants pitcher Caleb Kilian (not pictured) during the ninth inning at Oracle Park. Mandatory Credit: Robert Edwards-Imagn ImagesJul 10, 2026; San Francisco, California, USA; Colorado Rockies outfielder Jake McCarthy (31) runs after bunting a pitch thrown by San Francisco Giants pitcher Caleb Kilian (not pictured) during the ninth inning at Oracle Park. Mandatory Credit: Robert Edwards-Imagn Images

Kyle Karros flipped a deficit into a lead with a two-run single, Cole Carrigg padded the advantage with a sacrifice fly and the visiting Colorado Rockies rallied for three runs in the ninth inning to stun the San Francisco Giants 4-3 on Friday night.

After Rafael Devers’ third hit in the seventh inning gave the Giants a 2-1 lead they took into the ninth, closer Caleb Kilian (2-5) didn’t retire any of the four batters he faced, allowing a single to Mickey Moniak, a walk to pinch hitter Troy Johnson and a bunt single to Jake McCarthy, setting up Karros’ hit through a drawn-in infield.

Carrigg followed with his run-scoring flyball to left field off Kilian’s replacement, Erik Miller, giving Jordan Romano a two-run cushion for the bottom of the ninth.

The Rockies needed both runs after Romano served up a bases-loaded sacrifice fly to Devers before walking Willy Adames to again load the bases with two outs. Juan Mejia then came on and got Bryce Eldridge to ground out to second base on his first pitch, securing his fourth save.

Antonio Senzatela (9-1), who pitched a scoreless eighth, was credited with the win.

After the Rockies tied the contest in the fifth, neither team scored again until Luis Arraez stroked a two-out single in the seventh, stole second, advanced to third on a passed ball and jogged home when Devers grounded a single into right field.

Neither starting pitcher got a decision after carrying a 1-1 tie into the sixth inning.

Rockies starter Tanner Gordon worked around eight hits and a walk to limit the Giants to a single run in five innings. He struck out one.

San Francisco’s only run against him was the game’s first, when Devers lofted his 19th home run of the season into the right field bleachers to lead off the second inning.

Giants starter Robbie Ray took a shutout in the fifth, when the Rockies got even on back-to-back two-out doubles by Ezequiel Tovar and McCarthy.

The left-hander left three batters into the sixth, having walked each of them. Thanks to Dylan Smith retiring the next three batters to get out of the jam unscathed, Ray allowed only the one run on four hits and six walks. He struck out four.

Karros finished with three hits, while McCarthy and TJ Rumfield had two hits apiece for the Rockies, who have beaten their National League West rivals five times in eight meetings this season.

Devers totaled three RBIs, while Arraez joined his teammate with three hits for the Giants, who fell to 2-3 on their week-long homestand.

– Field Level Media

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Jimmy Crooks' homer lifts Cardinals to rain-delayed win over Braves

Jul 10, 2026; St. Louis, Missouri, USA; St. Louis Cardinals third baseman Blaze Jordan (33) hits a double against the Atlanta Braves during the third inning at Busch Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jeff Curry-Imagn ImagesJul 10, 2026; St. Louis, Missouri, USA; St. Louis Cardinals third baseman Blaze Jordan (33) hits a double against the Atlanta Braves during the third inning at Busch Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jeff Curry-Imagn Images

Jimmy Crooks hit a go-ahead solo home run in the eighth inning on Friday to lift the St. Louis Cardinals to a 2-1 victory over the visiting Atlanta Braves.

After a rain delay of nearly three hours in the top of the fourth derailed the game, Crooks hit his second home run of the season off Atlanta’s Danny Young (0-1) to help the Cardinals claim the series opener. Kyle Leahy threw three scoreless frames, surrendering a single and striking out two for St. Louis before being replaced by George Soriano after the delay.

JoJo Romero (1-2) tossed a perfect eighth inning to earn the win, and first-time All-Star Riley O’Brien posted his 23rd save in 27 tries for the Cardinals, who had dropped five of six entering the game.

Chris Sale started for Atlanta, allowing two hits in three scoreless innings, striking out five and walking one before the delay. Victor Mederos threw a pair of impressive innings in relief for Atlanta, which mustered just three hits. Austin Riley’s fifth-inning RBI single accounted for the Braves’ only run, as the visitors lost their fourth game in six tries.

In the bottom of the third, Blaze Jordan ripped a one-out double for the game’s first extra-base hit. After Sale issued a two-out walk to JJ Wetherholt, Ivan Herrera’s flyout ended the threat.

With Ozzie Albies leading off in the fourth, the game was halted by rain. After the delay, Soriano struck out Albies before retiring Matt Olson and Drake Baldwin.

Atlanta struck first in the fifth, though, as Mike Yasztremski doubled and scored on Riley’s RBI single. Justin Bruihl then relieved Soriano and threw 1 2/3 scoreless frames.

Didier Fuentes took over in the sixth for the Braves, allowing a one-out walk to Wetherholt and consecutive singles to Herrera and Jordan Walker, tying the score at one apiece.

The St. Louis bullpen retired the final seven Atlanta batters in order, with two of them flying out to the warning track.

–Field Level Media

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